estwarden / Baltic Security Monitor

Docs
GREEN
Economy | Sentiment TENSE CPI 4.00% UE 7.2% GDP 2.1%
0 Critical
0 Elevated
0 Advisory
10 Normal

Active Indicators

Status Category Indicator Finding Source
MILITARY 6th CAA No activity in last 24h
MILITARY 76th Guards Air Assault Div No activity in last 24h
MILITARY Kaliningrad Garrison No activity in last 24h
MILITARY WMD Troop Levels No activity in last 24h
HYBRID Undersea Cables No activity in last 24h
HYBRID Cyber & Sabotage No activity in last 24h
NATO NATO Exercises No activity in last 24h
NATO Baltic Defense Line No activity in last 24h
DIPLOMATIC Diplomatic Statements No activity in last 24h
DIPLOMATIC Ethnic Russian Issues No activity in last 24h

About

What is this?

estwarden is an automated open-source intelligence (OSINT) dashboard that monitors security indicators relevant to Estonia and the Baltic states. It runs a daily collection cycle querying multiple intelligence sources, then uses LLM analysis to extract structured threat indicators.

Monitored Categories

  • MILITARY Russian troop movements, exercises, force posture near Baltic borders
  • HYBRID Cyber attacks, cable sabotage, GPS jamming, drone incursions, disinformation
  • NATO Alliance deployments, exercises, defense infrastructure in the region
  • DIPLOMATIC Diplomatic signals, border incidents, escalatory rhetoric

Threat Levels

  • GREEN - No significant activity detected in the last 24h
  • YELLOW - Noteworthy developments requiring attention
  • ORANGE - Multiple elevated indicators, heightened risk
  • RED - Critical activity detected, immediate concern

Methodology

Intelligence is collected daily at 08:00 EET via Perplexity (real-time web search AI) across four query domains. Results are processed through an LLM to extract structured indicators with severity ratings. The overall threat level is computed algorithmically - single outliers are capped to prevent false escalation. Historical data is stored for trend analysis.

This is an automated tool, not a substitute for professional intelligence assessment. Indicators may contain errors or miss relevant events.